Question:

A private detective figures that he has a one in ten chance

Last updated: 7/15/2022

A private detective figures that he has a one in ten chance

A private detective figures that he has a one in ten chance of recovering stolen property for his client. The expenses for the investigation will cost him $10,000, but the recovery fee is $80,000. Based ONLY on this information, should the private detective take the job? The expected value is $1,000, so the detective should take the job. The expected value is -$2,000, so the detective should not take the job. The expected value is $2,000, so the detective should take the job. The expected value is -$8,000, so the detective should not take the job.